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Job Creation a LOSS in 2018 Federal Budget

It’s been just over a week since the 2018 budget reveal and it’s about time someone lays down the facts.

Property commentator and valuer, Anna Porter of Suburbanite warns that the budget has done nothing to create jobs in the long-term and is really just focused on a bunch of transport projects.

“Let’s get real for a moment, how much sustainable job creation does a road project bring to the area.” Says Anna Porter of Suburbanite.

“Whilst the 2018 budget does allocate a lot of funding towards infrastructure spend, it mostly comes in the form of road and rail projects. This is a strong vision for the future of the country’s transport corridors but does seem to be lacking in projects for long term job creation” says Ms Porter.

“When we evaluate a project’s impact on the property market we look closely at key drivers like jobs created off the back of that project, be it direct employment or indirect through the supply chain. In turn, this will generate interstate migration, population growth and economic stimulus to the local business sector. All of which drive price growth in the property market and rental demand. Without these key elements, projects have very little short term or immediate impact on the market and are better considered as a longer-term vision for the liveability of an area” continues Ms Porter.

To break it down on a local level there are some benefits to each area with the proposed government spend, but they may not be the smoking gun that investors and home owners were hoping for.

“Investor hub, Geelong, is set for a win with an upgrade to the Geelong rail line as part of the $7.8 billion allocation for Victoria. This spending will push Melbourneites out of the city and more towards other parts of the state due to the increased ease of access into the city coupled with the spending on the Melbourne airport rail link, north east link and the Frankston line. Inner urban Melbourne is already getting pricey and many buyers are feeling the pinch when trying to buy close to the city” Ms Porter exclaims.

“So, this upgrade will make it easier for buyers and renters alike to move a little further out to more affordable locations like Geelong and still work in the CBD resulting in more long term increased demand for these satellite locations outside of Melbourne CBD, as the commute is now sustainable” comments Ms Porter.

“Melbourne will also gain a light rail to Monash which will improve access into the University and again create a demand for housing in the outer suburbs, as well as making this a more appealing option for students. This can only have a positive impact on the rental demand for these more accessible locations” she continues.

“With a large proportion of the budget for NSW’s infrastructure spending being allocated to Western Sydney, investors will likely view this as a hotspot but the changes are not due for many years so this growth will be a slow and steady one” comments Ms Porter.

“Whilst current prices in Sydney have not exactly eased, the speculation around the Western Sydney Airport and adjacent rail link has not aided a potential price drop” says Anna Porter.

“I have seen an increase of many investors taking a speculative approach and land banking in these areas with little knowledge of where and how the infrastructure will roll out. This can be a risk strategy as a major road project can have a positive impact in many regards, but if you have land that will be in a noise corridor or will be impacted by access to main roads and freeways adjacent this can also negatively impact your property. Many investors are jumping into deals without this information readily available” she continues.

“Also, part of the $1.5 billion spend for NSW is the Pacific Highway Coffs Harbour bypass likely to boost the demand for holiday style housing in Northern NSW by investors also taking a speculative approach” Ms Porter says.

“Units in Brisbane are oversupplied and this will not change anytime soon. The budget has distributed a huge $5.2 billion to the state of QLD with $300 million established for the Brisbane Metro project. The remainder of the infrastructure spend here is to increase accessibility into the city which will boost the demand for inner city and outer suburbs residential areas” she says.

“Free-standing houses will be the key players in this market” Anna advises.

“Whilst still not yet through all the pain of the troubled economy of years gone by, the $2.6 billion allocation for Western Australia infrastructure will hopefully help the market recover sooner. The $944 million commitment to tackle congestion in Perth will make it more of a liveable city coupled with the $1.1 billion for the Metronet rail project that will soon make this state appealing to investors as the demand for housing will increase” Ms Porter warns.

South Australia has been defying the odds for quite some time now and the good news just keeps on coming.

“Adelaide is the city where travelling into work for most commuters is around the 20-25-minute mark and with the $1.8 billion commitment to infrastructure, this will become more achievable for residents of more suburbs especially with the Gawler rail line electrification and the North-South Road Corridor projects” Anna Porter continues.

“The many regional areas of Australia will also have funding injected directly into them with more money being assigned to the Building Better Regions fund and the Regional Growth Fund. This will see regional areas such as Griffith and Ballarat offering some relief to the struggling agriculture communities with more diverse employment opportunities to get them through these tough times. Hopefully this will underpin some of the recent volatilities felt in our regional markets off the back of the drought” Ms Porter says.

Furthermore, The Great Barrier Reef has not been overlooked with particular mention of a $1.4 billion commitment to improving the area including support to the World Heritage-listed site and the jobs it creates as well as an improvement to water quality, coral restoration and adaption research and more.

“This can only boost tourism, thus opening up more opportunities for holiday style accommodation to the area and tourism dollars being spent to help more local business thrive.  In particular, there has been a $443.8 million allocation to partner with the Great Barrier Reef Foundation to support the reef” says Ms Porter.

“Airbnb investors should take a look into this area as the boost in the reef itself will direct more tourism to the area and thus create a demand for accommodation with the Reef and surrounding suburbs.” Says Porter.